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Prediction Arena is an on-chain, tournament-based prediction arena. Players pay a fixed entry fee, compete across a series of short rounds, and the top 3 finishers split the entire prize pool. Every entry fee feeds the same pot — it is a jackpot in shape, but skill (not luck) decides who walks away with it. In each round, players predict whether the price of a crypto asset — BTC, ETH, SOL, and more — will close above or below a strike price when the round ends. Correct calls earn points; the leaderboard at the end of the tournament decides who takes the pot. There is no house position, no market maker, and no counterparty risk.

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Coming soon

Crypto asset tournaments are the launch format. More formats — bracket tournaments, parlays, clan wars, and others — are coming soon.

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The shape of a round

Each market runs a continuous cycle of short, identical rounds. Inside every round there is:
  • A prediction window, during which anyone can join and stake.
  • A lock period, during which the strike price is fixed and visible to everyone.
  • A settlement event, in which a signed oracle price determines the winning side.
  • A payout, in which the pot is distributed pro-rata to the winning side.
The structure is identical for every round, every market, every player. There are no VIP tiers. There is no preferential routing. There are no hidden orders.

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Why this design

Three principles drove the design:
Prediction Arena never custodies user funds. Stakes are held in audited smart contracts on Polygon and released directly to winning wallets when a round settles. We do not have, and cannot obtain, the ability to move user balances.
Settlement prices come from Pyth Network, a first-party oracle published and signed by the same exchanges, market makers, and trading firms that produce the prices in the first place. We do not — and cannot — substitute our own number. If Pyth doesn’t sign it, the round doesn’t settle.
Predictions are committed using a commit–reveal scheme, so nobody — including us — can see what anyone else picked until the window closes. Combined with our anti-copytrade protections, this means a whale cannot front-run you, and a bot farm cannot mirror your picks.

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Who is it for

  • Traders who want short-duration directional exposure without funding rates, slippage, or liquidations.
  • Sports and esports fans who want to bracket-pick tournaments with friends and strangers, with prize pools that scale with participation.
  • Builders who want a transparent, oracle-verified primitive to integrate into their own apps.
  • Anyone who has ever wondered why a “decentralized” prediction site needed their email, their KYC, and their trust.